Colorado Springs 3-0 Rhode Island — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.66
No
60%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.57
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
3.43
6+ Goals
8%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 32% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
56%
-16.4pp
60%
BTTS No
44%
+16.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.58/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.21
+36% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
16.2 Crosses 15.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Rhode Island
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 1.06
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
254 Passes 243
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 4
18.05.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 3-1 HT 1-1 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
3-0
AWAY Rhode Island
1.91 xG 0.28
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
287 Passes 214
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs Rhode Island
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Springs swept aside Rhode Island 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Colorado Springs as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 55% of the ball to Rhode Island's 45%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.91 to 0.28.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs Rhode Island?

Colorado Springs 3-0 Rhode Island in the USL Championship on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs Rhode Island?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 41%, draw 27%, Rhode Island 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Springs), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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