Leeds United vs Aston Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Leeds United v Aston Villa — Team-Based Signals
Leeds United vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Leeds United 1-2 Aston Villa — Actual Match Statistics
Aston Villa came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Leeds United 2-1 on their travels. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
The model refused to pick a side here (30% / 29% / 40%); Aston Villa picked one for it.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.
By the numbers, Aston Villa saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.79 to 1.58.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aston Villa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Leeds United against 1.50 for Aston Villa.
Leeds United vs Aston Villa Result & Final Score
Leeds United 1 - 2 Aston Villa in the England - Premier League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Leeds United vs Aston Villa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 30%, draw 29%, Aston Villa 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.