Arsenal vs Tottenham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Arsenal v Tottenham — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal vs Tottenham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Arsenal 4-1 Tottenham — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal dismantled Tottenham 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 46% on both teams scoring.
The match data tells the story: Arsenal had 57% of the ball to Tottenham's 43%, shots finished 17-3, expected goals 1.93 to 0.07.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Arsenal and 1.00 for Tottenham.
Arsenal vs Tottenham Result & Final Score
Arsenal 4 - 1 Tottenham in the England - Premier League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Arsenal vs Tottenham Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Arsenal 67%, draw 21%, Tottenham 12%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.