Arsenal vs Tottenham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Arsenal v Tottenham — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal vs Tottenham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Arsenal 0-1 Tottenham — Actual Match Statistics
Tottenham came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Arsenal 1-0 on the road.
Our model won't enjoy this one — Arsenal at 60% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, Arsenal had 56% of the ball to Tottenham's 44%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.03 to 0.34 — the balance of chances actually favoured Arsenal.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Arsenal and 1.00 for Tottenham.
Arsenal vs Tottenham Result & Final Score
Arsenal 0 - 1 Tottenham in the Friendlies on 31/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Arsenal vs Tottenham Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Arsenal 60%, draw 21%, Tottenham 19%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.