St. Louis City vs Aston Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Louis City v Aston Villa — Team-Based Signals
Aston Villa edged past St. Louis City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Aston Villa as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs Aston Villa?
St. Louis City 1-2 Aston Villa in the Friendlies on 31/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Louis City vs Aston Villa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 29%, draw 23%, Aston Villa 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.