Monaco 3-1 Torino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 31 Jul 2025

📅31/07/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.9
Over
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.4
2-3
40%
1.82
4-5
22%
3.57
6+
9%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.4 — our 29% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.72
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
19%
4.78
X/2
8%
7.61
X/X
11%
4.65
2/1
6%
24.8
2/2
15%
5.63
2/X
10%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monaco The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Torino The Market 29%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
0.51/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.02
-69% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +59%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monaco
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Torino
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
30.07.2025 Monaco Monaco 3-1 HT 2-1 Torino Torino HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monaco
3-1
AWAY Torino
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Monaco vs Torino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monaco got the better of Torino 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Monaco as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Monaco had 55% of the ball to Torino's 45%, shots finished 17-12.

What was the final score of Monaco vs Torino?

Monaco 3-1 Torino in the Friendlies on 31/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monaco vs Torino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Monaco 45%, draw 27%, Torino 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monaco) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monaco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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