Deportivo Alaves II 1-1 Real Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.5pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Union EU Bookmakers 34%
-24% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.08/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.00
-12% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Union
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
16.01.2021 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Union Real Union İS3
18.11.2020 Real Union Real Union 1-2 HT 0-2 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS3
21.12.2019 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Union Real Union İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
1-1
AWAY Real Union
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves II vs Real Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves II and Real Union shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Alaves II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves II had 44% of the ball to Real Union's 56%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Alaves II and 0.67 for Real Union.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves II vs Real Union?

Deportivo Alaves II 1-1 Real Union in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves II vs Real Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves II 42%, draw 26%, Real Union 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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