Navalcarnero 4-1 Tenerife II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife II EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.48/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.04
+4% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Navalcarnero
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Tenerife II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
02.03.2025 Tenerife II Tenerife II 1-2 HT 1-1 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
20.10.2024 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 0-2 HT 0-2 Tenerife II Tenerife II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Navalcarnero
4-1
AWAY Tenerife II
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Navalcarnero vs Tenerife II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Navalcarnero swept aside Tenerife II 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Navalcarnero as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Navalcarnero had 44% of the ball to Tenerife II's 56%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Navalcarnero and 1.50 for Tenerife II.

What was the final score of Navalcarnero vs Tenerife II?

Navalcarnero 4-1 Tenerife II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Navalcarnero vs Tenerife II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Navalcarnero win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Navalcarnero 46%, draw 28%, Tenerife II 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Navalcarnero) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Navalcarnero) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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