Tenerife II 1-2 Navalcarnero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife II EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +19%
1.66/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.88
+18% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +38%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Navalcarnero
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 0-2 HT 0-2 Tenerife II Tenerife II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife II
1-2
AWAY Navalcarnero
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Tenerife II vs Navalcarnero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Navalcarnero nicked a narrow win over Tenerife II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tenerife II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tenerife II had 55% of the ball to Navalcarnero's 45%, shots finished 13-10.

What was the final score of Tenerife II vs Navalcarnero?

Tenerife II 1-2 Navalcarnero in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife II vs Navalcarnero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tenerife II 46%, draw 29%, Navalcarnero 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tenerife II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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