Espanyol II 1-1 Pena Deportiva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Pena Deportiva EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.26/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.10
-3% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol II
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Pena Deportiva
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 0-2 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
25.02.2024 Espanyol II Espanyol II 2-1 HT 1-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
15.10.2023 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 1-1 HT 1-0 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
16.04.2023 Espanyol II Espanyol II 1-0 HT 0-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
04.12.2022 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 0-1 HT 0-0 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
24.04.2022 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 1-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol II
1-1
AWAY Pena Deportiva
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Espanyol II vs Pena Deportiva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol II and Pena Deportiva couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Espanyol II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Espanyol II had 66% of the ball to Pena Deportiva's 34%, shots finished 17-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Espanyol II had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Espanyol II and 0.50 for Pena Deportiva.

What was the final score of Espanyol II vs Pena Deportiva?

Espanyol II 1-1 Pena Deportiva in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol II vs Pena Deportiva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Espanyol II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Espanyol II 43%, draw 30%, Pena Deportiva 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Espanyol II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Espanyol II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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