Espanyol II 2-1 Pena Deportiva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol II EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Pena Deportiva EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
1.24/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.42
-21% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Pena Deportiva
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2023 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 1-1 HT 1-0 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
16.04.2023 Espanyol II Espanyol II 1-0 HT 0-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
04.12.2022 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 0-1 HT 0-0 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
24.04.2022 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 1-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
05.12.2021 Espanyol II Espanyol II 0-3 HT 0-2 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
16.05.2021 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 1-3 HT 1-0 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol II
2-1
AWAY Pena Deportiva
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Espanyol II vs Pena Deportiva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol II edged past Pena Deportiva 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Espanyol II as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Espanyol II had 50% of the ball to Pena Deportiva's 50%, shots finished 13-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Espanyol II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Espanyol II and 1.00 for Pena Deportiva.

What was the final score of Espanyol II vs Pena Deportiva?

Espanyol II 2-1 Pena Deportiva in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol II vs Pena Deportiva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Espanyol II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Espanyol II 51%, draw 24%, Pena Deportiva 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Espanyol II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Espanyol II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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