Zaragoza II 2-2 Athletic Bilbao II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
49%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.16
No
63%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
29%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.0pp
49%
Away Win
41%
+7.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.6pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaragoza II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 45%
+17% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.20/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.00
+17% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaragoza II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.10.2023 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 2-0 HT 2-0 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaragoza II
2-2
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
41% Ball Possession 59%
23 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Zaragoza II vs Athletic Bilbao II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaragoza II and Athletic Bilbao II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Athletic Bilbao II at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zaragoza II had 41% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao II's 59%, shots finished 23-10.

What was the final score of Zaragoza II vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Zaragoza II 2-2 Athletic Bilbao II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaragoza II vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Zaragoza II 26%, draw 25%, Athletic Bilbao II 49%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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