Union Adarve 3-3 Gimnastica Segoviana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.3pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.8pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Adarve EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastica Segoviana EU Bookmakers 32%
+20% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.87/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.20
+60% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Adarve
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Gimnastica Segoviana
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2023 Gimnastica Segoviana Gimnastica Segoviana 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
15.01.2023 Union Adarve Union Adarve 2-0 HT 1-0 Gimnastica Segoviana Gimnastica Segoviana İS4
23.01.2022 Gimnastica Segoviana Gimnastica Segoviana 1-1 HT 1-0 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
05.09.2021 Union Adarve Union Adarve 4-1 HT 1-1 Gimnastica Segoviana Gimnastica Segoviana İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Adarve
3-3
AWAY Gimnastica Segoviana
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
7 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Adarve vs Gimnastica Segoviana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Adarve and Gimnastica Segoviana couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Adarve had 54% of the ball to Gimnastica Segoviana's 46%, shots finished 19-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Union Adarve had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Union Adarve and 0.50 for Gimnastica Segoviana.

What was the final score of Union Adarve vs Gimnastica Segoviana?

Union Adarve 3-3 Gimnastica Segoviana in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Adarve vs Gimnastica Segoviana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Adarve win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Union Adarve 39%, draw 32%, Gimnastica Segoviana 30%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Adarve) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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