Mar Menor CF 1-1 Estepona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.36
Over 2.5
39%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.44
No
57%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.7pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.3pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
70%
-8.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
30%
+8.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.2pp
57%
BTTS No
63%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mar Menor CF EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Estepona EU Bookmakers 36%
+9% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.99/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.71
-9% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +53%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mar Menor CF
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Estepona
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2023 Estepona Estepona 2-0 HT 0-0 Mar Menor CF İS4
POST-MATCH Mar Menor CF vs Estepona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mar Menor CF and Estepona shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (31% / 34% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

What was the final score of Mar Menor CF vs Estepona?

Mar Menor CF 1-1 Estepona in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mar Menor CF vs Estepona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estepona win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Mar Menor CF 31%, draw 34%, Estepona 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Estepona), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estepona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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