UCAM Murcia 1-0 Real Betis II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.6pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis II EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
0.75/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.16
-36% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 62%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCAM Murcia
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Real Betis II
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
15.10.2023 Real Betis II Real Betis II 2-0 HT 0-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
18.03.2023 Real Betis II Real Betis II 0-0 HT 0-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
30.10.2022 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 3-0 HT 1-0 Real Betis II Real Betis II İS4
03.04.2022 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Betis II Real Betis II İS3
04.09.2021 Real Betis II Real Betis II 1-0 HT 0-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS3
14.02.2021 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Betis II Real Betis II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCAM Murcia
1-0
AWAY Real Betis II
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UCAM Murcia vs Real Betis II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCAM Murcia edged past Real Betis II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; UCAM Murcia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, UCAM Murcia had 55% of the ball to Real Betis II's 45%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for UCAM Murcia and 0.67 for Real Betis II.

What was the final score of UCAM Murcia vs Real Betis II?

UCAM Murcia 1-0 Real Betis II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCAM Murcia vs Real Betis II?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split UCAM Murcia 37%, draw 31%, Real Betis II 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCAM Murcia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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