El Palo 0-1 La Union Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.38
Over 2.5
35%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.33
No
64%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.7pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.5pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
69%
-3.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
31%
+3.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
39%
-3.1pp
64%
BTTS No
61%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Palo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY La Union Atletico EU Bookmakers 32%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
0.67/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-43% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -64%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Palo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY La Union Atletico
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
15.10.2023 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico 1-2 HT 1-0 El Palo El Palo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Palo
0-1
AWAY La Union Atletico
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH El Palo vs La Union Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Union Atletico nicked a narrow win over El Palo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was El Palo at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, El Palo had 62% of the ball to La Union Atletico's 38%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of El Palo vs La Union Atletico?

El Palo 0-1 La Union Atletico in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Palo vs La Union Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Palo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split El Palo 45%, draw 26%, La Union Atletico 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (El Palo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (El Palo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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