Pena Deportiva 0-2 Espanyol II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.8pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.4pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pena Deportiva EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol II EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.59/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.17
+33% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pena Deportiva
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Espanyol II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2024 Espanyol II Espanyol II 2-1 HT 1-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
15.10.2023 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 1-1 HT 1-0 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
16.04.2023 Espanyol II Espanyol II 1-0 HT 0-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
04.12.2022 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 0-1 HT 0-0 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
24.04.2022 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 1-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
05.12.2021 Espanyol II Espanyol II 0-3 HT 0-2 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pena Deportiva
0-2
AWAY Espanyol II
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Pena Deportiva vs Espanyol II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol II got the better of Pena Deportiva 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Espanyol II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pena Deportiva had 59% of the ball to Espanyol II's 41%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Espanyol II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pena Deportiva and 0.83 for Espanyol II.

What was the final score of Pena Deportiva vs Espanyol II?

Pena Deportiva 0-2 Espanyol II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pena Deportiva vs Espanyol II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pena Deportiva win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Pena Deportiva 36%, draw 32%, Espanyol II 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pena Deportiva) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pena Deportiva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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