Rayo Cantabria 2-1 Pontevedra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
35%
3.35
Away
41%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+1.2pp
35%
Draw
26%
+8.3pp
41%
Away Win
50%
-9.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.0pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 55%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
0.97/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.78
+1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +12%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
228 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Cantabria
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Pontevedra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
20.10.2024 Pontevedra Pontevedra 2-1 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
17.03.2024 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 2-2 HT 1-1 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
05.11.2023 Pontevedra Pontevedra 0-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Cantabria
2-1
AWAY Pontevedra
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rayo Cantabria vs Pontevedra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Cantabria squeezed past Pontevedra 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pontevedra at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rayo Cantabria had 34% of the ball to Pontevedra's 66%, shots finished 8-17.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pontevedra led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rayo Cantabria and 1.33 for Pontevedra.

What was the final score of Rayo Cantabria vs Pontevedra?

Rayo Cantabria 2-1 Pontevedra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Cantabria vs Pontevedra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rayo Cantabria 24%, draw 35%, Pontevedra 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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