Pontevedra 2-1 Rayo Cantabria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.0pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +20%
2.14/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.10
+27% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +33%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontevedra
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Rayo Cantabria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
17.03.2024 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 2-2 HT 1-1 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
05.11.2023 Pontevedra Pontevedra 0-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontevedra
2-1
AWAY Rayo Cantabria
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Pontevedra vs Rayo Cantabria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontevedra nicked a narrow win over Rayo Cantabria 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pontevedra as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Pontevedra had 65% of the ball to Rayo Cantabria's 35%, shots finished 13-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pontevedra and 1.00 for Rayo Cantabria.

What was the final score of Pontevedra vs Rayo Cantabria?

Pontevedra 2-1 Rayo Cantabria in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontevedra vs Rayo Cantabria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Pontevedra 52%, draw 25%, Rayo Cantabria 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontevedra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
20 Oct 2024
00:00 Barbastro vs Teruel Analysis →
00:00 Xerez Deportivo vs Linares Deportivo Analysis →
00:00 UD Logrones vs Eibar II Analysis →
00:00 Don Benito vs Granada II Analysis →
00:00 Terrassa vs Torrent Analysis →
00:00 Alfaro vs SD Logrones Analysis →