Navalcarnero 0-2 Tenerife II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife II EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
1.17/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-8% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
229 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 6.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Navalcarnero
0-2
AWAY Tenerife II
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Navalcarnero vs Tenerife II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife II saw off Navalcarnero 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Navalcarnero at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Navalcarnero had 62% of the ball to Tenerife II's 38%, shots finished 11-15.

What was the final score of Navalcarnero vs Tenerife II?

Navalcarnero 0-2 Tenerife II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Navalcarnero vs Tenerife II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Navalcarnero win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Navalcarnero 44%, draw 25%, Tenerife II 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Navalcarnero) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Navalcarnero) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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