Cacereno 2-3 SS Reyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.0pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacereno EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY SS Reyes EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.21/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.45
-5% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
242 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cacereno
0W-1D-1L
AWAY SS Reyes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
11.02.2024 SS Reyes SS Reyes 1-1 HT 0-1 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
01.10.2023 Cacereno Cacereno 1-2 HT 0-1 SS Reyes SS Reyes İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cacereno
2-3
AWAY SS Reyes
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Cacereno vs SS Reyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Reyes edged past Cacereno 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cacereno at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cacereno had 59% of the ball to SS Reyes's 41%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, SS Reyes led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cacereno and 1.50 for SS Reyes.

What was the final score of Cacereno vs SS Reyes?

Cacereno 2-3 SS Reyes in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacereno vs SS Reyes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cacereno 42%, draw 28%, SS Reyes 29%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cacereno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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