SS Reyes 1-1 Cacereno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-9.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Reyes EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacereno EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
2.14/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.81
+56% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -28%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
326 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Reyes
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Cacereno
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Cacereno Cacereno 1-2 HT 0-1 SS Reyes SS Reyes İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Reyes
1-1
AWAY Cacereno
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH SS Reyes vs Cacereno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Reyes and Cacereno couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was SS Reyes at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, SS Reyes had 62% of the ball to Cacereno's 38%, shots finished 16-6.

What was the final score of SS Reyes vs Cacereno?

SS Reyes 1-1 Cacereno in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Reyes vs Cacereno?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Reyes win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split SS Reyes 42%, draw 29%, Cacereno 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SS Reyes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SS Reyes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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