Formentera 0-2 UD Alzira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.48
Over 2.5
46%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.16
No
49%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
64%
-10.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
36%
+10.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Formentera EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Alzira EU Bookmakers 29%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.68/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.56
+33% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
247 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Formentera
2W-1D-1L
AWAY UD Alzira
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 UD Alzira UD Alzira 2-2 HT 1-0 Formentera Formentera İS4
12.03.2023 Formentera Formentera 4-0 HT 2-0 UD Alzira UD Alzira İS4
23.10.2022 UD Alzira UD Alzira 0-1 HT 0-1 Formentera Formentera İS4
28.09.2022 UD Alzira UD Alzira 2-0 HT 1-0 Formentera Formentera İSPFK
POST-MATCH Formentera vs UD Alzira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Alzira got the better of Formentera 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Formentera at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Formentera had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Formentera and 1.00 for UD Alzira.

What was the final score of Formentera vs UD Alzira?

Formentera 0-2 UD Alzira in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Formentera vs UD Alzira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Formentera win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Formentera 47%, draw 26%, UD Alzira 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Formentera), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Formentera) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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