Union Adarve 1-0 Talavera CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
44%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.7pp
24%
Draw
31%
-6.3pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Adarve EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 43%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.86/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.62
+81% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +55%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Adarve
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Talavera CF
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Talavera CF Talavera CF 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
12.02.2023 Talavera CF Talavera CF 1-3 HT 0-1 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
25.09.2022 Union Adarve Union Adarve 2-0 HT 1-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Adarve
1-0
AWAY Talavera CF
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Adarve vs Talavera CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Adarve edged past Talavera CF 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Talavera CF at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Union Adarve had 43% of the ball to Talavera CF's 57%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Union Adarve had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Union Adarve and 0.33 for Talavera CF.

What was the final score of Union Adarve vs Talavera CF?

Union Adarve 1-0 Talavera CF in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Adarve vs Talavera CF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Talavera CF win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Union Adarve 32%, draw 24%, Talavera CF 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Talavera CF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Talavera CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
11 Feb 2024
13:00 Formentera vs UD Alzira Analysis →
13:30 Zaragoza II vs Brea Analysis →
13:30 Sevilla II vs Real Betis II Analysis →
14:00 Numancia vs Illescas Analysis →
14:00 UCAM Murcia vs Antoniano Analysis →
14:00 Penya Independent vs Europa Analysis →