Numancia vs Illescas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Numancia v Illescas — Team-Based Signals
Numancia vs Illescas Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Numancia
İS4
Numancia 2-3 Illescas — Actual Match Statistics
Illescas squeezed past Numancia 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Numancia at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Numancia had 61% of the ball to Illescas's 39%, shots finished 21-11.
What was the final score of Numancia vs Illescas?
Numancia 2-3 Illescas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Numancia vs Illescas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Numancia 46%, draw 28%, Illescas 26%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.