Penya Independent 1-1 Europa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 11 Feb 2024

Penya Independent
1-1 HT 0-0
Europa
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2023/2024

Penya Independent vs Europa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
36%
3.18
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-1.8pp
36%
Draw
28%
+8.1pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.0pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Penya Independent v Europa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penya Independent EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Europa EU Bookmakers 48%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.16/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.50
+13% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -41%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 464 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Penya Independent vs Europa Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penya Independent
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Europa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 11
6 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Europa Europa 2-1 HT 1-1 Penya Independent İS4
POST-MATCH Penya Independent vs Europa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penya Independent and Europa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 36% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

What was the final score of Penya Independent vs Europa?

Penya Independent 1-1 Europa in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penya Independent vs Europa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Europa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Penya Independent 27%, draw 36%, Europa 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Europa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Europa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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