GIANA Erminio 1-0 Ospitaletto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.93
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.1pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.3pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ospitaletto EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.24/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.77
-7% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIANA Erminio
1-0
AWAY Ospitaletto
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH GIANA Erminio vs Ospitaletto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIANA Erminio squeezed past Ospitaletto 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had GIANA Erminio as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, GIANA Erminio had 50% of the ball to Ospitaletto's 50%, shots finished 6-5.

What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs Ospitaletto?

GIANA Erminio 1-0 Ospitaletto in the Italy - Serie C on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs Ospitaletto?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 49%, draw 24%, Ospitaletto 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GIANA Erminio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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