Ascoli 0-2 Arezzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.83
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-3.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ascoli EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Arezzo EU Bookmakers 38%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +18%
0.57/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.00
-52% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
239 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ascoli
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Arezzo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2025 Ascoli Ascoli 1-0 HT 0-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
03.11.2024 Arezzo Arezzo 1-1 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTC
18.08.2024 Arezzo Arezzo 2-1 HT 1-1 Ascoli Ascoli İTCK
03.02.2005 Ascoli Ascoli 2-2 HT 2-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTB
21.09.2004 Arezzo Arezzo 0-0 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ascoli
0-2
AWAY Arezzo
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ascoli vs Arezzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arezzo saw off Ascoli 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Arezzo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ascoli had 59% of the ball to Arezzo's 41%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ascoli and 1.00 for Arezzo.

What was the final score of Ascoli vs Arezzo?

Ascoli 0-2 Arezzo in the Italy - Serie C on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Arezzo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 33%, draw 30%, Arezzo 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arezzo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arezzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
23 Nov 2025
14:30 Trento AC vs Internazionale II Analysis →
14:30 Cavese vs Atalanta II Analysis →
16:30 Novara vs Renate Analysis →
16:30 Union Brescia vs Vicenza Analysis →
16:30 Ternana vs Juventus II Analysis →
16:30 Catania vs US Latina Analysis →