Arezzo 1-1 Ascoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.33
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-5.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arezzo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ascoli EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.39/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.78
+8% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arezzo
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Ascoli
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Arezzo Arezzo 2-1 HT 1-1 Ascoli Ascoli İTCK
03.02.2005 Ascoli Ascoli 2-2 HT 2-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTB
21.09.2004 Arezzo Arezzo 0-0 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arezzo
1-1
AWAY Ascoli
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arezzo vs Ascoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arezzo and Ascoli couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Arezzo had 60% of the ball to Ascoli's 40%, shots finished 6-2.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arezzo had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Arezzo and 1.00 for Ascoli.

What was the final score of Arezzo vs Ascoli?

Arezzo 1-1 Ascoli in the Italy - Serie C on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arezzo vs Ascoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Arezzo 37%, draw 29%, Ascoli 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arezzo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arezzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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