SSC Giugliano 2-1 Trapani 1905 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
47%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.08
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.8
6+ Goals
10%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 33% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
47%
Away Win
51%
-3.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Trapani 1905 EU Bookmakers 55%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.77/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.99/1.00
+67% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +109% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 499 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Giugliano
2-1
AWAY Trapani 1905
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH SSC Giugliano vs Trapani 1905
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Giugliano edged past Trapani 1905 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Trapani 1905 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, SSC Giugliano had 47% of the ball to Trapani 1905's 53%, shots finished 15-13.

What was the final score of SSC Giugliano vs Trapani 1905?

SSC Giugliano 2-1 Trapani 1905 in the Italy - Serie C on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Giugliano vs Trapani 1905?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trapani 1905 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split SSC Giugliano 28%, draw 25%, Trapani 1905 47%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trapani 1905) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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