Audace Cerignola 1-1 Crotone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.41
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Crotone EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.46/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.54
+2% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audace Cerignola
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Crotone
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.01.2024 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 4-2 HT 0-2 Crotone Crotone İTC
21.09.2023 Crotone Crotone 1-1 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
08.04.2023 Crotone Crotone 0-1 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
04.12.2022 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 0-1 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audace Cerignola
1-1
AWAY Crotone
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Audace Cerignola vs Crotone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audace Cerignola and Crotone couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Audace Cerignola at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Audace Cerignola had 52% of the ball to Crotone's 48%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Audace Cerignola had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Audace Cerignola and 1.00 for Crotone.

What was the final score of Audace Cerignola vs Crotone?

Audace Cerignola 1-1 Crotone in the Italy - Serie C on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audace Cerignola vs Crotone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Audace Cerignola 49%, draw 24%, Crotone 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Audace Cerignola), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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