Legnago Salus 2-2 Perugia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
46%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.24
6+ Goals
10%
20.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 32% vs market 30.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.2pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.0pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legnago Salus EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Perugia EU Bookmakers 53%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
1.01/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.90
-5% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legnago Salus
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Perugia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2021 Perugia Perugia 4-0 HT 1-0 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus İTC
21.10.2020 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus 0-2 HT 0-1 Perugia Perugia İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legnago Salus
2-2
AWAY Perugia
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Legnago Salus vs Perugia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legnago Salus and Perugia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Perugia at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Legnago Salus had 44% of the ball to Perugia's 56%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Perugia led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Legnago Salus and 3.00 for Perugia.

What was the final score of Legnago Salus vs Perugia?

Legnago Salus 2-2 Perugia in the Italy - Serie C on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legnago Salus vs Perugia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Legnago Salus 31%, draw 23%, Perugia 46%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Perugia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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