Avellino vs Taranto Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Avellino v Taranto — Team-Based Signals
Avellino vs Taranto Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Taranto
İTC
2-2
HT 1-1
Avellino
İTC
4-0
HT 1-0
Taranto
İTC
0-1
HT 0-0
Avellino
İTC
2-1
HT 1-0
Taranto
İTC
Avellino 0-1 Taranto — Actual Match Statistics
Taranto squeezed past Avellino 1-0 away from home.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Avellino at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Avellino had 68% of the ball to Taranto's 32%, shots finished 17-3.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Avellino had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Avellino and 0.60 for Taranto.
What was the final score of Avellino vs Taranto?
Avellino 0-1 Taranto in the Italy - Serie C on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Avellino vs Taranto?
Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Avellino 64%, draw 20%, Taranto 16%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Avellino), Over 2.5 went the other way.