Catania 1-0 US Latina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.43
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.75
Over 2.5
56%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.27
No
44%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.83
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.81
6+ Goals
12%
17.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.81 — our 27% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
14%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
66%
-1.7pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.6pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
53%
-9.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
47%
+9.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
40%
+16.4pp
44%
BTTS No
60%
-16.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catania EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY US Latina EU Bookmakers 15%
-10% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +23%
1.78/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.92
+4% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
391 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catania
2W-1D-3L
AWAY US Latina
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2025 US Latina US Latina 1-4 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
27.10.2024 Catania Catania 0-1 HT 0-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
14.02.2024 US Latina US Latina 1-0 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
08.10.2023 Catania Catania 1-1 HT 0-1 US Latina US Latina İTC
05.12.2021 US Latina US Latina 1-0 HT 1-0 Catania Catania İTC
19.04.2015 US Latina US Latina 1-2 HT 0-1 Catania Catania İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catania
1-0
AWAY US Latina
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Catania vs US Latina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catania edged past US Latina 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Catania as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Catania had 53% of the ball to US Latina's 47%, shots finished 11-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, US Latina led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Catania and 1.00 for US Latina.

What was the final score of Catania vs US Latina?

Catania 1-0 US Latina in the Italy - Serie C on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catania vs US Latina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Catania 64%, draw 20%, US Latina 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catania) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Catania) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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