US Latina 1-4 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.3
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.65
6+ Goals
10%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Latina EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -17%
0.95/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.30
-18% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
111 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME US Latina
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Catania
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Catania Catania 0-1 HT 0-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
14.02.2024 US Latina US Latina 1-0 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
08.10.2023 Catania Catania 1-1 HT 0-1 US Latina US Latina İTC
05.12.2021 US Latina US Latina 1-0 HT 1-0 Catania Catania İTC
19.04.2015 US Latina US Latina 1-2 HT 0-1 Catania Catania İTB
23.11.2014 Catania Catania 1-0 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Latina
1-4
AWAY Catania
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH US Latina vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catania swept aside US Latina 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Catania found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, US Latina had 51% of the ball to Catania's 49%, shots finished 5-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, US Latina had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for US Latina and 0.67 for Catania.

What was the final score of US Latina vs Catania?

US Latina 1-4 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Latina vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated an Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split US Latina 35%, draw 27%, Catania 38%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catania) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Catania) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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