Ascoli 1-0 Arezzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.18
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
5.01
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.1pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.0pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ascoli EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Arezzo EU Bookmakers 39%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
0.96/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.00
-17% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
257 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ascoli
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Arezzo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Arezzo Arezzo 1-1 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTC
18.08.2024 Arezzo Arezzo 2-1 HT 1-1 Ascoli Ascoli İTCK
03.02.2005 Ascoli Ascoli 2-2 HT 2-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTB
21.09.2004 Arezzo Arezzo 0-0 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ascoli
1-0
AWAY Arezzo
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ascoli vs Arezzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ascoli nicked a narrow win over Arezzo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Ascoli found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ascoli had 45% of the ball to Arezzo's 55%, shots finished 8-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arezzo led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ascoli and 1.25 for Arezzo.

What was the final score of Ascoli vs Arezzo?

Ascoli 1-0 Arezzo in the Italy - Serie C on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Arezzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 36%, draw 29%, Arezzo 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ascoli), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ascoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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