Perugia 2-1 Legnago Salus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.55
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.1
6+ Goals
7%
20.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-11.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.3pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perugia EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Legnago Salus EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.50/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.31
-14% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perugia
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Legnago Salus
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus 2-2 HT 1-0 Perugia Perugia İTC
17.02.2021 Perugia Perugia 4-0 HT 1-0 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus İTC
21.10.2020 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus 0-2 HT 0-1 Perugia Perugia İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perugia
2-1
AWAY Legnago Salus
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Perugia vs Legnago Salus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perugia squeezed past Legnago Salus 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Perugia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Perugia had 50% of the ball to Legnago Salus's 50%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Perugia had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Perugia and 0.67 for Legnago Salus.

What was the final score of Perugia vs Legnago Salus?

Perugia 2-1 Legnago Salus in the Italy - Serie C on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perugia vs Legnago Salus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Perugia 47%, draw 28%, Legnago Salus 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perugia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Perugia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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