Athletic Carpi 1-1 Pineto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.74
6+ Goals
6%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.6pp
26%
Draw
30%
-5.0pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.1pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Pineto EU Bookmakers 39%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.19/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.12
+4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
241 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Carpi
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Pineto
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Pineto Pineto 1-4 HT 0-2 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Carpi
1-1
AWAY Pineto
65% Ball Possession 35%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Athletic Carpi vs Pineto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Carpi and Pineto shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Athletic Carpi had 65% of the ball to Pineto's 35%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Athletic Carpi vs Pineto?

Athletic Carpi 1-1 Pineto in the Italy - Serie C on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Carpi vs Pineto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Carpi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Athletic Carpi 39%, draw 26%, Pineto 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Athletic Carpi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Carpi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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