Rimini 0-1 Gubbio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.51
Over 2.5
45%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
5.07
6+ Goals
8%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rimini EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Gubbio EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -14%
1.51/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.35
+17% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rimini
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gubbio
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Gubbio Gubbio 1-0 HT 0-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
07.05.2024 Gubbio Gubbio 0-1 HT 0-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
22.12.2023 Rimini Rimini 1-2 HT 0-1 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
05.10.2023 Rimini Rimini 1-0 HT 0-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTCK
11.05.2023 Gubbio Gubbio 1-1 HT 1-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
04.02.2023 Rimini Rimini 0-1 HT 0-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rimini
0-1
AWAY Gubbio
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rimini vs Gubbio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gubbio nicked a narrow win over Rimini 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rimini at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Rimini had 56% of the ball to Gubbio's 44%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gubbio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rimini and 0.83 for Gubbio.

What was the final score of Rimini vs Gubbio?

Rimini 0-1 Gubbio in the Italy - Serie C on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rimini vs Gubbio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rimini win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rimini 42%, draw 29%, Gubbio 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rimini) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rimini) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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