Gubbio 0-1 Rimini — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 May 2024

Gubbio
0-1 HT 0-0
Rimini
📅07/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Gubbio vs Rimini Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
18.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 31% vs market 28.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.3pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.3pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gubbio v Rimini — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gubbio EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rimini EU Bookmakers 28%
-10% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
0.86/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.31
-42% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Gubbio vs Rimini Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gubbio
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rimini
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.12.2023 Rimini Rimini 1-2 HT 0-1 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
05.10.2023 Rimini Rimini 1-0 HT 0-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTCK
11.05.2023 Gubbio Gubbio 1-1 HT 1-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
04.02.2023 Rimini Rimini 0-1 HT 0-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
09.10.2022 Gubbio Gubbio 1-2 HT 0-2 Rimini Rimini İTC
09.02.2020 Gubbio Gubbio 1-1 HT 0-1 Rimini Rimini İTC

Gubbio 0-1 Rimini — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gubbio
0-1
AWAY Rimini
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gubbio vs Rimini
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rimini edged past Gubbio 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gubbio at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Gubbio had 54% of the ball to Rimini's 46%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gubbio and 1.00 for Rimini.

What was the final score of Gubbio vs Rimini?

Gubbio 0-1 Rimini in the Italy - Serie C on 07/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gubbio vs Rimini?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gubbio win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gubbio 45%, draw 31%, Rimini 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gubbio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gubbio) ✓ Under 2.5
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