Legnago Salus 1-0 Lumezzane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 May 2024

📅07/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.85
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.0pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.7pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legnago Salus EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.29/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.03
+10% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legnago Salus
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Lumezzane
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus 2-1 HT 0-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
11.11.2023 Lumezzane Lumezzane 0-0 HT 0-0 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legnago Salus
1-0
AWAY Lumezzane
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Legnago Salus vs Lumezzane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legnago Salus nicked a narrow win over Lumezzane 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Legnago Salus found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Legnago Salus had 37% of the ball to Lumezzane's 63%, shots finished 10-18.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Legnago Salus had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Legnago Salus and 0.50 for Lumezzane.

What was the final score of Legnago Salus vs Lumezzane?

Legnago Salus 1-0 Lumezzane in the Italy - Serie C on 07/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legnago Salus vs Lumezzane?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lumezzane win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Legnago Salus 34%, draw 30%, Lumezzane 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lumezzane) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lumezzane) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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