Legnago Salus 2-1 Lumezzane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.91
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legnago Salus EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.29/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.79
+5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +46%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legnago Salus
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Lumezzane
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2023 Lumezzane Lumezzane 0-0 HT 0-0 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legnago Salus
2-1
AWAY Lumezzane
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Legnago Salus vs Lumezzane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legnago Salus nicked a narrow win over Lumezzane 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Legnago Salus found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Legnago Salus had 61% of the ball to Lumezzane's 39%, shots finished 12-10.

What was the final score of Legnago Salus vs Lumezzane?

Legnago Salus 2-1 Lumezzane in the Italy - Serie C on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legnago Salus vs Lumezzane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legnago Salus win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Legnago Salus 35%, draw 30%, Lumezzane 35%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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