Mantova 2-0 Fiorenzuola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.28
Draw
26%
5.15
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.42
2-3 Goals
42%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.93
6+ Goals
10%
8.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
74%
-15.5pp
26%
Draw
16%
+9.1pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mantova EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorenzuola EU Bookmakers 12%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.31/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.69
+30% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
428 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mantova
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Fiorenzuola
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.11.2023 Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola 2-3 HT 1-3 Mantova Mantova İTC
13.03.2022 Mantova Mantova 1-1 HT 0-0 Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola İTC
31.10.2021 Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola 0-0 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mantova
2-0
AWAY Fiorenzuola
69% Ball Possession 31%
15 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mantova vs Fiorenzuola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mantova got the better of Fiorenzuola 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mantova as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Mantova had 69% of the ball to Fiorenzuola's 31%, shots finished 15-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mantova had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mantova and 1.00 for Fiorenzuola.

What was the final score of Mantova vs Fiorenzuola?

Mantova 2-0 Fiorenzuola in the Italy - Serie C on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mantova vs Fiorenzuola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mantova win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Mantova 58%, draw 26%, Fiorenzuola 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mantova) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mantova) ✗ Over 2.5
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