US Latina 1-1 ACR Messina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.35
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Latina EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +10%
0.96/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.34
-22% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME US Latina
2W-0D-3L
AWAY ACR Messina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.11.2023 ACR Messina ACR Messina 0-3 HT 0-1 US Latina US Latina İTC
25.02.2023 US Latina US Latina 0-2 HT 0-1 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
22.10.2022 ACR Messina ACR Messina 4-1 HT 2-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
27.03.2022 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-0 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
20.11.2021 US Latina US Latina 1-0 HT 1-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Latina
1-1
AWAY ACR Messina
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH US Latina vs ACR Messina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Latina and ACR Messina couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, US Latina had 57% of the ball to ACR Messina's 43%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, ACR Messina led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for US Latina and 1.40 for ACR Messina.

What was the final score of US Latina vs ACR Messina?

US Latina 1-1 ACR Messina in the Italy - Serie C on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Latina vs ACR Messina?

Before kick-off our model rated a US Latina win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split US Latina 38%, draw 28%, ACR Messina 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (US Latina), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (US Latina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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