Carrarese 1-0 Juventus II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.33
6+ Goals
10%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.3pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrarese EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus II EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.55/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.34
-3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
404 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrarese
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Juventus II
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Juventus II Juventus II 0-1 HT 0-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
25.04.2021 Juventus II Juventus II 1-0 HT 0-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
09.01.2021 Carrarese Carrarese 0-1 HT 0-0 Juventus II Juventus II İTC
13.07.2020 Carrarese Carrarese 2-2 HT 2-0 Juventus II Juventus II İTC
08.12.2019 Juventus II Juventus II 1-3 HT 0-1 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
1-0
AWAY Juventus II
59% Ball Possession 41%
28 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Carrarese vs Juventus II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrarese edged past Juventus II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Carrarese as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Carrarese had 59% of the ball to Juventus II's 41%, shots finished 28-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Carrarese and 1.00 for Juventus II.

What was the final score of Carrarese vs Juventus II?

Carrarese 1-0 Juventus II in the Italy - Serie C on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrarese vs Juventus II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 47%, draw 26%, Juventus II 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carrarese), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carrarese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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