Atalanta II 0-2 Pergolettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.73
6+ Goals
7%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 34% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.1pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 28%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
0.96/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.40
-34% / +133% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Pergolettese
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-3 HT 0-1 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta II
0-2
AWAY Pergolettese
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atalanta II vs Pergolettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pergolettese beat Atalanta II 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atalanta II at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Atalanta II had 58% of the ball to Pergolettese's 42%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Atalanta II vs Pergolettese?

Atalanta II 0-2 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta II vs Pergolettese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Atalanta II 48%, draw 27%, Pergolettese 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atalanta II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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