Audace Cerignola 1-1 SSC Giugliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 May 2024

📅07/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.56
6+ Goals
9%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 31% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+9.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.8pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.53/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.48
-5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
296 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audace Cerignola
2W-1D-0L
AWAY SSC Giugliano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.12.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 0-1 HT 0-1 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
07.01.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 1-1 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
11.09.2022 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 1-0 HT 0-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audace Cerignola
1-1
AWAY SSC Giugliano
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Audace Cerignola vs SSC Giugliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audace Cerignola and SSC Giugliano shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Audace Cerignola at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Audace Cerignola had 58% of the ball to SSC Giugliano's 42%, shots finished 9-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Audace Cerignola had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Audace Cerignola and 0.33 for SSC Giugliano.

What was the final score of Audace Cerignola vs SSC Giugliano?

Audace Cerignola 1-1 SSC Giugliano in the Italy - Serie C on 07/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audace Cerignola vs SSC Giugliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Audace Cerignola 45%, draw 23%, SSC Giugliano 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Audace Cerignola), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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