Pescara 2-2 Pontedera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 May 2024

📅07/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.7
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 29% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pescara EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontedera EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +21%
1.47/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.99
+0% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pescara
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Pontedera
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Pescara Pescara 1-0 HT 1-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
05.12.2023 Pontedera Pontedera 0-5 HT 0-3 Pescara Pescara İTC
27.03.2022 Pescara Pescara 1-1 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
21.11.2021 Pontedera Pontedera 2-1 HT 1-0 Pescara Pescara İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pescara
2-2
AWAY Pontedera
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pescara vs Pontedera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pescara and Pontedera shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Pescara at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pescara had 45% of the ball to Pontedera's 55%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pescara had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pescara and 0.75 for Pontedera.

What was the final score of Pescara vs Pontedera?

Pescara 2-2 Pontedera in the Italy - Serie C on 07/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pescara vs Pontedera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Pescara 49%, draw 26%, Pontedera 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pescara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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