Pescara 1-0 Pontedera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
4.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
9.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 30% vs market 19.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pescara EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontedera EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +32%
1.51/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.02
+3% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pescara
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Pontedera
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2023 Pontedera Pontedera 0-5 HT 0-3 Pescara Pescara İTC
27.03.2022 Pescara Pescara 1-1 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
21.11.2021 Pontedera Pontedera 2-1 HT 1-0 Pescara Pescara İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pescara
1-0
AWAY Pontedera
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pescara vs Pontedera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pescara squeezed past Pontedera 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pescara as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Pescara had 49% of the ball to Pontedera's 51%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Pescara and 1.00 for Pontedera.

What was the final score of Pescara vs Pontedera?

Pescara 1-0 Pontedera in the Italy - Serie C on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pescara vs Pontedera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Pescara 44%, draw 24%, Pontedera 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pescara), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pescara) ✓ BTTS No
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