Pineto 1-4 Athletic Carpi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.33
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.7pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pineto EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.84/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.00
-35% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
281 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pineto
1-4
AWAY Athletic Carpi
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pineto vs Athletic Carpi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Carpi cruised past Pineto 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Pineto at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pineto had 55% of the ball to Athletic Carpi's 45%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Pineto vs Athletic Carpi?

Pineto 1-4 Athletic Carpi in the Italy - Serie C on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pineto vs Athletic Carpi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pineto win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pineto 41%, draw 29%, Athletic Carpi 30%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pineto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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